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The Flagrant Fan - Game Picks - Friday: May 13, 2011

Posted on May 13, 2011 at 7:54 AM
Filed Under: General Baseball
Pardon the intrusion. My home site currently resides in blogger. Blogger has been down now for hours upon hours. And thus I am an orphan. Thanks to C70 At The Bat, at least I have a place to lay my head for today. One of my daily features is what I call the Game Picks feature. It's a daily post with who this Fan thinks will win their games today based on one part knowledge and one part luck. I think last year I finished around 58 percent correct, which, considering the old adage that, "on any given night, any team can win," isn't bad. And the picks are indeed daily. I didn't miss a single day of the 2010 season and only two days the season before (the last time blogger failed this badly). Again, I know this isn't your normal entry here at this wonderful site. Hopefully, this will all be like a bad dream and we'll all wake up again in a normal world.

With all due apologies accounted for, here are today's picks. Oh! Wait. Just to let you know, these picks are not scientific and not devoted to those who gamble. It's just something that interests me, and perhaps you. Okay. the picks!

  • The Giants over the Cubs: What a tough start to the day's picks! Madison Bumgarner hasn't won a game all season and Ryan Dempster had been in a deep dumpster all season until his last two starts. Going with Bumgarner because if he is on, few pitchers are more dominant.
  • The Yankees over the Red Sox: Another tough game to pick. The Yankees historically do well against Buchholz since they make him throw strikes. A pitcher like Bartolo Colon can frustrate a team like the Red Sox since all he does is throw strikes. Sheesh, this day isn't going to be easy!
  • The Nationals over the Marlins: Chris Volstad has not pitched well this season. Tom Gorzelanny has a way of keeping his team in the game. If the Nationals score, they win.
  • The Tigers over the Royals: Justin Verlander is coming off his no-hitter and some times, pitchers struggle their next game. But he is always good against the Royals. Luke Hochevar seems destined never to live up to what was hoped for him.
  • The Indians over the Mariners: The Indians had a tough series for once and need to bounce back. The always unpredictable Fausto Carmona needs to be on his good side to win. Doug Fister will give up his share of base runners. It's a question of how many key hits the Indians get off of him.
  • The Bay Rays over the Orioles: The Orioles haven't lost since J. J. Hardy returned to the line up. But they face the tough Jeremy Hellickson. Every time this picker gives up on Jeremy Guthrie, he wins. Ugh.
  • The Cardinals over the Reds: How can you post on a Cardinal site and not pick the Cardinals to win? Kyle Lohse will have to be at his best to get it done though. Bronson Arroyo is a battler. It will be interesting.
  • The Phillies over the Braves: Last week, the Braves would have been the pick. But except for last night's win, the Braves have slowed, especially with the loss of Jason Heyward. Brandon Beachy has been a great story though. You can read my post on him on my still crippled site. Cole Hamels with the win.
  • The Rangers over the Angels: In a perfect world, Jared Weaver would always beat Alexi Ogando. But the Angels still have problems on offense and the Rangers are at home.
  • The Astros over the Mets: This pick has sirens going off. Dillon Gee can be very good. The Astros can't hit or field. The Mets losing Ike Davis hurts. And Bud Norris has been very good.
  • The Pirates over the Brewers: James McDonald has an arm. EE eye EE eye oh. And on that arm his picks are good EE eye EE eye oh. Yovani Gallardo could make this pick look mighty stupid though.
  • The Rockies over the Padres: Jorge de la Rosa has been excellent. The Padres' offense is still suspect (despite their 23 hits the other day). Dustin Moseley cracked a bit in his last start. It's hard to continue to pitch well when you don't strike anyone out.
  • The White Sox over the Athletics: Phil Humber has been great for the White Sox. Who thought that he would be their best pitcher? Brandon McCarthy won't get any run support. How did baseball get so many Brandons?
  • The Dodgers over the Diamondbacks: No, this game picker will never pick Joe Saunders to win. EVER! Clayton Kershaw gets the easy win.

And the Game of the Day (the game that seems to be the easiest to pick):

  • The Blue Jays over the Twins: Ricky Romero neutralizes the Twin anemic offense while the Blue Jays tee off on Carl Pavano.
Yesterday: 3-4
Week: 30-29
Month: 79-76
Season: 291-260
Games of the Day: 21-22

Thanks again for letting this Fan house sit for a day. I hate you, blogger.
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Heroes
Matt Carpenter (4)
Matt Holliday (4)
Carlos Beltran (3)
Rafael Furcal (3)
Jon Jay (3)
Kyle Lohse (3)
Lance Lynn (3)
David Freese (2)
Jaime Garcia (2)
Yadier Molina (2)
Adam Wainwright (2)
Allen Craig (1)
Shane Robinson (1)
Fernando Salas (1)
Jake Westbrook (1)

2011 Top Hero: Lance Berkman (24)
2010 Top Heroes: Matt Holliday and Albert Pujols (24)
2009 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (28)
2008 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (25)

Goats
Matt Holliday (4)
Carlos Beltran (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Adam Wainwright (3)
David Freese (2)
Rafael Furcal (2)
Tyler Greene (2)
Jason Motte (2)
J.C. Romero (2)
Marc Rzepczynski (2)
Mitchell Boggs (1)
Matt Carpenter (1)
Tony Cruz (1)
Daniel Descalso (1)
Jon Jay (1)
Erik Komatsu (1)
Kyle Lohse (1)
Victor Marte (1)
Fernando Salas (1)
Jake Westbrook (1)

2011 Top Goat: Ryan Theriot (12)
2010 Top Goat: Brendan Ryan (14)
2009 Top Goats: Rick Ankiel and Todd Wellemeyer (13)
2008 Top Goat: Troy Glaus (13)

2012 Happy Flights
Happy Flights: 7
Happy Flight Opportunities: 10
Happy Flight %: 70%

Through 5/15

    Cardinal Nation Approval Ratings (March 2012)
    Adam Wainwright 91.9% (down 2.8%)
    Chris Carpenter 90.1% (up 3.2%)
    Lance Berkman 88.6%
    Tony La Russa 88.2% (up 17.4%)
    Yadier Molina 87.4% (up 3.7%)
    Matt Holliday 87.3% (down 3.8%)
    David Freese 85.5%
    John Mozeliak 85.4% (up 13.3%)
    Mike Shannon 85.3% (up 0.4%)
    Jose Oquendo 84.7%
    Derrick Goold 82.8% (down 5.0%)
    Mark McGwire 82.6% (up 20.1%)
    John Rooney 81.5% (down 2.8%)
    Mike Matheny 81.1%
    Bill DeWitt 79.8% (up 8.8%)
    United Cardinal Bloggers 78.9%
    Skip Schumaker 73.3% (up 9.2%)
    Jim Hayes 71.9% (down 4.2%)
    Jon Jay 71.1%
    B.J. Rains 69.5% (down 0.9%)
    Kyle Lohse 68.9% (up 13.8%)
    Dan McLaughlin 68.0%
    Joe Strauss 67.7% (up 10.2%)
    Ricky Horton 67.5% (down 1.6%)
    Al Hrabosky 66.4% (up 3.2%)
    Albert Pujols 54.9% (down 45.5%)
    Colby Rasmus 46.5% (down 35.3%)

    2011
    Dave Duncan 87.9% (up 0.9%)
    Matthew Leach 85.5%
    Pop Warner 76.7%
    Ryan Franklin 72.8% (up 3.1%)
    John Vuch 68.9%
    Jeff Luhnow 66.4%
    Dan Lozano 58.7%

    2009
    Rick Ankiel 83.9%
    Chris Duncan 69.1%


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