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Cardinal Comeback

Posted on April 27, 2010 at 7:47 AM
Filed Under: Atlanta Braves | Heroes and Goats | St. Louis Cardinals
First off, I want to say thank you to everyone who has expressed kind words over the Cardinal Blogosphere Guide.  I hope that it results in increased traffic for the blogs listed and that you can find another source of can't-miss Cardinal writing.

Perhaps it was just me, but it seems like if this was last year's team, a 3-0 deficit against Tim Hudson would have been game over.  I was listening to that portion on the radio and felt like it was over.  Atlanta seemed to be continually chipping away at Kyle Lohse and the Cardinals were again not getting any hits with men in scoring position.

However, the last half of this game was very different than the first half.  I'm not quite willing to give Lohse the Hero of the game tag, but he did stiffen and figure out how to keep Atlanta from scoring any more runs.  It sounded like he was getting the ball down more in the last couple of innings, which always is a good thing.

I don't think all the runs he allowed were his fault, either.  It seemed to me, watching the third inning, that he made some awfully good pitches, especially to Chipper Jones who eventually walked.  I thought he should have had Jones out a long time before that, but he couldn't get the calls.  It seemed like he just had to lay it in there to get a strike, something Troy Glaus took advantage of in driving in the second run.

I'm going to give Colby Rasmus the Hero tag again.  Not only did he hit a big home run to pull the Cards within one, his continued development (and the fact that Albert Pujols was on second with first open) led to a walk in the eighth, allowing Yadier Molina to drive in the winning run (and would have had an insurance run if that ball hadn't hopped the wall).  Sure, that set up the double play with Molina batting, but I'm wondering if things might not have been a bit different if it was the early-season 2009 Rasmus batting.

Then again, maybe not.  Bobby Cox did walk Skip Schumaker to get to Ryan Ludwick, something that I've never seen and likely won't see again anytime soon.

Talking about heroes, can we give a little credit to this bullpen?  I've been one in the last couple of weeks that has been on their case, but since Mitchell Boggs grooved a pitch to Mark Reynolds in Arizona, here's their combined line:

13 IP, 10 H, 11 K, 7 BB, 1.38 ERA

The walk total is a little high, but it's skewed by Kyle McClellan's three in the first game of the examined period.  They've really come in and shut the door in the last week and hopefully that will continue.

Finally, major kudos to Bryan Anderson.  In his last major league at-bat for a while, as Jason LaRue will be activated today, he had a nice piece of hitting, going the other way to drive in the tying run.  Hopefully he'll do well in Memphis, though the odds of us seeing him before September (barring injury) are very slim.  There was some talk on the post-game show last night about the team carrying three catchers and letting him be more of a left-handed bat, but I think if they wanted to do that, they'd have let him play more in the last couple of weeks, as they have Nick Stavinoha as an emergency backup.

Even though David Freese went 0-4, there's no way he can be the Goat.  He had a number of defensive gems last night, bringing back memories of Scott Rolen.  To think that people were ragging on his defense at the beginning of the season!  Freese is starting to look like one of the biggest steals in Cardinal history.

So if we don't give it to him, we look to the other 0-4 in the box score, Brendan Ryan.  It's been a tough month for Brendan and thankfully it's not really affected his glove, but he's going to have to hit over .200 soon, isn't he?

The Cards made some moves yesterday, sending down Allen Craig, putting Felipe Lopez on the disabled list, and calling up Tyler Greene and Jon Jay.  I put a quick look at the newcomers together for Baseball Digest yesterday, and as I did so I really got excited for what Jay especially may bring to this ball club.  He's got a good high-average bat, so he may be more likely to help that "string hits together" idea.  He's got speed, so he can go first to third or steal a base.  I expect he'll probably get a start in this Atlanta series, maybe Thursday, and it'll be interesting to see what he does with the opportunity.

The move that may affect the Cardinals the most from yesterday, though, they didn't make.  Twitter blew up yesterday with the announcement of Ryan Howard's five year extension.  You can find Ben's ruminations on that over at BD, but the consensus is 1) that's way more that Howard is worth and 2) it's going to make it that much harder for St. Louis to sign Pujols.

I tend to agree, at least on the former.  I mean, Howard has always struck me as a guy that isn't necessarily going to age well.  He hits long balls and that's about the extent of it.  He still can't hit left-handed pitching, so his average is never going to be really high.  He's not known as any great shakes at first.  He's a good player, don't get me wrong, but the second-highest annual salary in baseball?  That doesn't seem right.

Will this affect Pujols's contract?  That remains to be seen.  On the one hand, you'd think it'd have to, because it's the easiest comparison in the world.  Howard plays the same position and does everything worse than Pujols, so you know AP would be looking for more than $25 million per now.

On the other hand, does it really?  I mean, no one expected to get AP for $25 per year, did they?  Not if he's looking to be the highest player in the game.  He already had the ARod contract and the Mark Teixeira contracts to use as a comparison.  Does this really add that much more fuel to the fire?

Look, we already know that Pujols, if he wanted to hold out for every cent, is going to be the richest player ever, no matter who pays him.  I don't know that being able to point to one more crazy contract will add much incentive to either side.  I still think, and I've held to this all along, that Pujols's contract is going to have some creative stuff in it.  Honestly, you hear this tossed around by a lot of media types for a lot of contracts, but I would not be surprised if a small fraction of team ownership, say 3% or so, wouldn't be part of it.  I'm not sure if it's legal within the rules of the game, so it might be that he gets an option to purchase that percentage at a bargain rate when he retires, but I think ownership might well be a part of his next deal.

Cards get back to the field tonight and send out Chris Carpenter against Derek Lowe.  You always like your chances when Carpenter is on the bump.  Here is what he's done against the Braves:

PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GDP
Troy Glaus 22 18 5 2 0 2 5 4 4 .278 .409 .722 1.131 0 0 0 0 1
Nate McLouth 17 16 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 .250 .294 .250 .544 0 0 0 1 0
David Ross 11 11 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 .273 .273 .273 .545 0 0 0 0 0
Brian McCann 8 7 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 .286 .375 .714 1.089 0 0 0 1 0
Chipper Jones 7 6 3 1 0 0 0 1 1 .500 .571 .667 1.238 0 0 0 0 0
Eric Hinske 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Yunel Escobar 5 3 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 .667 .750 .667 1.417 1 0 0 0 0
Derek Lowe 4 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 .250 .250 .250 .500 0 0 0 0 0
Martin Prado 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .250 .250 .250 .500 0 0 0 0 1
Matt Diaz 3 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 1 0
Omar Infante 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 0 0 0 0 0
Jair Jurrjens 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Total 91 81 23 3 0 3 13 6 18 .284 .356 .432 .788 1 0 0 3 2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/27/2010.

Atlanta actually has a better average against him than I would have expected.  Former teammate Troy Glaus has the best numbers, but Glaus hasn't been quite himself this year.  Then again, he did get a couple of hits last night, so he could be heating up.

Derek Lowe has looked a little shaky so far this season.  Still, he's a ground ball specialist who can get it going at any time.  Here's him against the Cardinals:

PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GDP
Matt Holliday 34 32 18 5 0 1 9 1 6 .563 .559 .813 1.371 0 1 0 0 1
Felipe Lopez 23 23 7 1 0 0 1 0 1 .304 .304 .348 .652 0 0 0 0 1
Albert Pujols 21 20 7 2 0 1 8 1 2 .350 .381 .600 .981 0 0 0 0 0
Yadier Molina 17 15 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 .333 .412 .333 .745 0 0 0 0 0
Ryan Ludwick 10 10 6 0 0 2 6 0 0 .600 .600 1.200 1.800 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Carpenter 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Jason LaRue 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
Adam Wainwright 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Skip Schumaker 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Total 123 117 43 8 0 4 26 5 19 .368 .390 .538 .929 0 1 0 0 2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/27/2010.

The big bats in the lineup have done a number on him in the past.  You combine that with what Lowe's done this year and Carpenter on the mound, and the odds definitely favor a solid win for the Cards tonight.  However, as we know, that's why they play the games on the field and not paper.  Should be a fun one!


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You are way too kind to so called bloggers who can't even manage a post per month -
nice of you to give the rundown but the UCB should really only list the blogs that are truly active and the "humor" blogs, please!!

Tighten up the requirements for membership in UCB. Thanks!

Perhaps. But since none of us get paid, I don't think I'm going to be all that restrictive on who is a blogger and who isn't. I don't want to have to make that distinction.

I will note that not all the blogs listed are a part of the UCB. Some have never requested membership. I wanted to list as many blogs as I could, not just the once that might have the UCB label.

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Heroes
Carlos Beltran (6)
Yadier Molina (5)
Matt Holliday (4)
Jon Jay (4)
Matt Carpenter (3)
Daniel Descalso (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Pete Kozma (3)
Shelby Miller (3)
Adam Wainwright (3)
Allen Craig (2)
Lance Lynn (2)
Tyler Lyons (2)
Edward Mujica (2)
Jake Westbrook (2)
David Freese (1)
Joe Kelly (1)
Seth Maness (1)
Trevor Rosenthal (1)
Michael Wacha (1)
Ty Wigginton (1)

2012 Top Hero: Matt Holliday (17)
2011 Top Hero: Lance Berkman (24)
2010 Top Heroes: Matt Holliday and Albert Pujols (24)
2009 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (28)
2008 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (25)

Goats
Jon Jay (6)
David Freese (5)
Mitchell Boggs (4)
Joe Kelly (4)
Pete Kozma (4)
Matt Carpenter (3)
Allen Craig (3)
Daniel Descalso (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Yadier Molina (3)
Matt Adams (2)
Carlos Beltran (2)
Matt Carpenter (2)
Matt Holliday (2)
Lance Lynn (2)
Seth Maness (1)
Shane Robinson (1)
Fernando Salas (1)
Adam Wainwright (1)
Jake Westbrook (1)

2012 Top Goat: Rafael Furcal (11)
2011 Top Goat: Ryan Theriot (12)
2010 Top Goat: Brendan Ryan (14)
2009 Top Goats: Rick Ankiel and Todd Wellemeyer (13)
2008 Top Goat: Troy Glaus (13)

Cardinal Nation Approval Ratings (March 2013)
Yadier Molina 96.2% (up 8.8%)
Chris Carpenter 89.8% (down 0.3%)
Derrick Goold 89.1% (up 6.3%)
Matt Holliday 88.4% (up 0.9%)
Allen Craig 88.3%
Adam Wainwright 88.2% (down 3.7%)
Jose Oquendo 87.1% (up 2.4%)
Jason Motte 86.9%
John Mozeliak 86.5% (up 1.1%)
United Cardinal Bloggers 85.2% (up 6.3%)
Bill DeWitt 85.1% (up 5.3%)
Mike Shannon 85.1% (down 0.2%)
John Rooney 84.5% (up 3.0%)
Mike Matheny 84.4% (up 3.3%)
David Freese 82.9% (down 2.6%)
Jon Jay 81.8% (up 10.7%)
Lance Berkman 80.6% (down 8.0%)
Jenifer Langosch 79.5%
Lance Lynn 79.5%
Dan McLaughlin 76.0% (up 8.0%)
Jim Hayes 73.0% (up 1.1%)
Ricky Horton 65.5% (down 2.0%)
Jaime Garcia 64.1%
Albert Pujols 59.2% (up 4.3%)
Ballpark Village 58.3%
Joe Strauss 54.3% (down 13.4%)

2012
Tony La Russa 88.2% (up 17.4%)
Mark McGwire 82.6% (up 20.1%)
Skip Schumaker 73.3% (up 9.2%)
B.J. Rains 69.5% (down 0.9%)
Kyle Lohse 68.9% (up 13.8%)
Al Hrabosky 66.4% (up 3.2%)
Colby Rasmus 46.5% (down 35.3%)

2011
Dave Duncan 87.9% (up 0.9%)
Matthew Leach 85.5%
Pop Warner 76.7%
Ryan Franklin 72.8% (up 3.1%)
John Vuch 68.9%
Jeff Luhnow 66.4%
Dan Lozano 58.7%

2009
Rick Ankiel 83.9%
Chris Duncan 69.1%


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