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New Faces, Same Results

Posted on August 1, 2011 at 6:42 AM
Filed Under: Chicago Cubs | Heroes and Goats | Milwaukee Brewers | St. Louis Cardinals
Remember last year, when the Cardinals struggled to do anything against weaker teams?  They could dominate the big boys, but were unable to take care of the Pirates and Cubs of the world.  While the 2011 version of the Redbirds isn't quite to that extent, they still show a frustrating inability to put the bad teams away, as proven last night when they were unable to get a much-needed sweep and fell to 4-3 on a homestand that was made up of the worst two team in the NL Central.

The sixth and seventh innings provided most of the relevant action and they were innings filled with enough strange, non-La Russa-like decisions that you wondered if Tony had taken an little time off to hit the concession stand.

Start with the top of the inning.  Jake Westbrook is rolling along with a perfect game and, while you knew it couldn't last, it was enjoyable to see that anyway.  He got through the fifth on only four pitches, I believe, so there was no reason to think that he was wearing down.  Yet whether it was the heat and humidity or just results catching up to him, the sixth got ugly.

To be fair, it wasn't all his fault.  There were at least two pitches on Carlos Pena that should have been called strikes, which should have ended the inning with the Cards just down 1-0.  After that, though, Kevin from Cards 'N Stuff was screaming on Twitter that Westbrook looked gassed and TLR should make a move to the pen.  It did seem to make some sense.  On the one hand, Tony may have been trying to save some arms for the upcoming Milwaukee series and also thought that Westbrook was pitching OK, just unable to get any help from the man behind the plate.  On the flip side, there are a lot of new arms down there that haven't been used in a while.  Octavio Dotel was unavailable, I'm sure, after three days of work, but other than that most everyone should have been fresh.

Tony doesn't make the move, though, and Marlon Byrd drives in two more to make in 4-0.  That became really big in the bottom of the sixth, when Hero Lance Berkman smashed a three-run home run.  (Good to see Berkman back, though he did strike out three times so he may have still been a bit rusty.  Looks like he plans to be back for the long haul.)  Instead of possibly giving the Cards the lead, it left them trailing by one.  Still, it was good to see the Cards respond quickly after having been shut down by Ryan Dempster to that point.  Dempster is one of those guys the Cards have hit in the past--the ESPN guys were making such a point of how Albert Pujols owns him--but he had their number last night.  Pujols especially had a terrible first at-bat against Dempster and the second wasn't much better before he was more patient and then doubled in the sixth.  (Side note: AP is up to .283, his highest batting average of the season.)

The bottom of the seventh is the other spot where TLR got away from his normal managing style.  Yadier Molina and Daniel Descalso both single to open the inning.  It's a one run game late and the pitcher's spot is up.  Now, Jason Motte had come in for Westbrook in the top of the inning, so I understand not sending him up to bunt.  And, personally, I think teams (including the Cards) sacrifice bunt more often than they should.  But late in a game, especially in a game like this, you have to get the runners over, especially with the top of the lineup coming up.

This is where Tony sends up Rafael Furcal to make his St. Louis debut.  OK, I can understand that.  I don't know personally Furcal's bunting skills, but he's a leadoff man with some speed, so you figure he's done it enough in the past and could get the job done.

Except that he doesn't bunt.  Why, with the knowledge that this team is so susceptible to the  double play he doesn't, I don't know.  Furcal grounds into a force out, beating out the double play ball.  That also proves he's a step better than the man he's replacing, as TLR sends up Ryan Theriot to pinch hit for Skip Schumaker since the Cubs have brought in lefty Sean Marshall and Theriot promptly gets that double play.  Two on, nobody out and the Cards can't score.

Cards threaten again in the eighth when Pujols singles, then Matt Holliday, who had the worst game out there with three strikeouts (two looking), finally hits the ball, but Kerry Wood makes a spectacular, reflex-only play and gets the double play.  Kyle McClellan (who, for some reason, was going two innings) allowed a two-run homer in the ninth and that was all for the sweep chances.

(Painful stat in the Post-Dispatch writeup: Cards have hit into 116 double plays.  For context, they've only played 108 games and the second-most in the NL is 28 behind them.  With the additions of Furcal and Corey Patterson, will we see a little more of the running game going forward?)

The last time the Cards swept anyone was the last series in June when they faced the Orioles.  In July, they had three (not counting the four-game Houston series where they won the first two) chance to do so and weren't able to get the last game.  Finishing teams off is going to be key if this team wants to have a shot in the division.

Will the moves at this deadline be meaningful or will it be shuffling deck chairs?  I remember 1997, when the Cards waited until after a big series with Houston to make the Mark McGwire trade and the team continued to sink even with that move.  Some of the facts put out there by people like Jayson Stark this year, about how it has been a long time since a team made a move at the deadline that pushed them over the top, makes you concerned about which direction this team is going.

They've got the Brewers for a three game road set starting tonight and it is vital they win at least two of three, with a sweep a much better result.  They sit 2.5 behind the Brew Crew as there has been some separation in the Central the last few days.  The Pirates are now 4.5 out with the Reds a distant 6.5.  Winning two of three will cut a game off of that lead while, obviously, a sweep will get them into first.  If they leave Milwaukee farther behind than they arrived, though, it's not a great sign for the next two months.

If the Cards are going to make a statement, at least they have the right pitchers to do it with.  They run out Jaime Garcia and Edwin Jackson as well, but the opener is started by Chris Carpenter.  If there is anyone who steps up in big games, it is Carp and I have no doubt that he'll be competing hard again tonight.  Here are his numbers against the Brew Crew:

PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS IBB HBP GDP
Jerry Hairston 30 28 6 1 0 0 1 0 2 .214 .233 .250 .483 0 1 0
Felipe Lopez 30 24 7 0 0 2 2 6 5 .292 .433 .542 .975 0 0 0
Craig Counsell 24 21 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 .238 .304 .238 .542 0 0 1
Prince Fielder 21 17 6 0 0 2 3 3 6 .353 .476 .706 1.182 0 1 0
Casey McGehee 18 16 4 2 0 0 3 2 6 .250 .333 .375 .708 0 0 0
Ryan Braun 15 15 3 0 0 1 2 0 4 .200 .200 .400 .600 0 0 0
Nyjer Morgan 14 13 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .077 .077 .077 .154 0 0 0
Corey Hart 11 10 3 1 0 1 3 1 4 .300 .364 .700 1.064 0 0 0
Mark Kotsay 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 2
Randy Wolf 6 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .200 .200 .200 .400 0 0 0
George Kottaras 5 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 .250 .200 .250 .450 0 0 0
Yovani Gallardo 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Zack Greinke 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000 0 0 0
Jonathan Lucroy 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Total 187 166 39 4 0 6 18 14 33 .235 .299 .367 .666 0 2 3
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/1/2011.

Cardinal fans like the look of that. He's going to have to be careful with Prince Fielder, but anytime Fielder comes up late the Cards will likely go to their new weapon, Marc Rzepczynski. (Hey, I spelled it right without looking it up!  Where do I get my "True Cardinal Fan" badge?)

Unfortunately, the Brewers have some pitchers of their own. Tonight, it's their big offseason acquisition, Zack Greinke. Not a lot of exposure to him and he's pitching better now than when the Cards saw him earlier in the year, but here are the numbers:
 
PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS IBB HBP GDP
Gerald Laird 20 20 6 1 0 0 0 0 3 .300 .300 .350 .650 0 0 0
Albert Pujols 15 12 4 2 0 0 0 3 1 .333 .467 .500 .967 0 0 1
Skip Schumaker 10 10 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 .500 .500 .600 1.100 0 0 0
Matt Holliday 7 7 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 .286 .286 .714 1.000 0 0 0
Yadier Molina 7 7 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 .429 .429 .571 1.000 0 0 0
Corey Patterson 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Ryan Theriot 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Lance Berkman 3 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 .333 .333 1.333 1.667 0 0 0
Daniel Descalso 3 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 .333 .333 .667 1.000 0 0 0
David Freese 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .333 .000 .333 0 0 0
Jon Jay 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Chris Carpenter 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Total 82 78 22 6 0 2 4 4 15 .282 .317 .436 .753 0 0 1
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/1/2011.

Interesting that Gerald Laird has such a good history against him. Molina does too, of course, but in a smaller sample size. Will we see Laird behind the plate tonight? Nobody has bad numbers against him, really, but again, the Cards haven't seen him much.

The Cards may talk about this not being that big of a series, that there's still a lot of baseball to be played, that we see these guys a lot down the stretch.  I don't buy it.  The pennant race starts tonight.  Will the Cardinals answer the gun?
  


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Heroes
Matt Holliday (5)
Matt Carpenter (4)
Rafael Furcal (4)
Carlos Beltran (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Jon Jay (3)
Kyle Lohse (3)
Lance Lynn (3)
Yadier Molina (3)
David Freese (2)
Adam Wainwright (2)
Lance Berkman (1)
Allen Craig (1)
Shane Robinson (1)
Fernando Salas (1)
Jake Westbrook (1)

2011 Top Hero: Lance Berkman (24)
2010 Top Heroes: Matt Holliday and Albert Pujols (24)
2009 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (28)
2008 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (25)

Goats
Matt Holliday (4)
Carlos Beltran (3)
David Freese (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Jason Motte (3)
Marc Rzepczynski (3)
Adam Wainwright (3)
Rafael Furcal (2)
Tyler Greene (2)
J.C. Romero (2)
Fernando Salas (2)
Mitchell Boggs (1)
Matt Carpenter (1)
Tony Cruz (1)
Daniel Descalso (1)
Jon Jay (1)
Erik Komatsu (1)
Kyle Lohse (1)
Victor Marte (1)
Eduardo Sanchez (1)
Jake Westbrook (1)

2011 Top Goat: Ryan Theriot (12)
2010 Top Goat: Brendan Ryan (14)
2009 Top Goats: Rick Ankiel and Todd Wellemeyer (13)
2008 Top Goat: Troy Glaus (13)

2012 Happy Flights
Happy Flights: 7
Happy Flight Opportunities: 12
Happy Flight %: 58%

Through 5/20

    Cardinal Nation Approval Ratings (March 2012)
    Adam Wainwright 91.9% (down 2.8%)
    Chris Carpenter 90.1% (up 3.2%)
    Lance Berkman 88.6%
    Tony La Russa 88.2% (up 17.4%)
    Yadier Molina 87.4% (up 3.7%)
    Matt Holliday 87.3% (down 3.8%)
    David Freese 85.5%
    John Mozeliak 85.4% (up 13.3%)
    Mike Shannon 85.3% (up 0.4%)
    Jose Oquendo 84.7%
    Derrick Goold 82.8% (down 5.0%)
    Mark McGwire 82.6% (up 20.1%)
    John Rooney 81.5% (down 2.8%)
    Mike Matheny 81.1%
    Bill DeWitt 79.8% (up 8.8%)
    United Cardinal Bloggers 78.9%
    Skip Schumaker 73.3% (up 9.2%)
    Jim Hayes 71.9% (down 4.2%)
    Jon Jay 71.1%
    B.J. Rains 69.5% (down 0.9%)
    Kyle Lohse 68.9% (up 13.8%)
    Dan McLaughlin 68.0%
    Joe Strauss 67.7% (up 10.2%)
    Ricky Horton 67.5% (down 1.6%)
    Al Hrabosky 66.4% (up 3.2%)
    Albert Pujols 54.9% (down 45.5%)
    Colby Rasmus 46.5% (down 35.3%)

    2011
    Dave Duncan 87.9% (up 0.9%)
    Matthew Leach 85.5%
    Pop Warner 76.7%
    Ryan Franklin 72.8% (up 3.1%)
    John Vuch 68.9%
    Jeff Luhnow 66.4%
    Dan Lozano 58.7%

    2009
    Rick Ankiel 83.9%
    Chris Duncan 69.1%


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