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The Berkman Potentiality

Posted on November 29, 2010 at 10:30 AM
Filed Under: St. Louis Cardinals
I hope everyone had a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving holiday.  If you are like me, you ate well, you got to see some family, and then just enjoyed not having to work.  Got some of the Christmas decorations up as we do the whole Advent thing.

What didn't happen over the last few days is anything related to the Cardinals.  The front page of the Post-Dispatch looks the same, no major breaking news, no reports of John Mozeliak inviting himself to Albert Pujols's house for a little turkey and cranberry sauce.  Which means that it's tough to find things to write about in this space.

However, today some news came out that was at least intriguing and worthy of discussion.  Lance Berkman apparently wanted to go back to Houston, but the Astros didn't reciprocate.  So he's looking at other teams, and one of the teams he says has contacted him is the Cardinals.

Does this make sense for the Cardinals?  After all, it's pretty obvious Berkman isn't going to play his normal first base in St. Louis, at least in 2011 and hopefully for many a year after that.  Though having Berkman would be some sort of insurance policy if Pujols were to walk, even if it is one that doesn't pay full value for the loss of use.

The real question is whether it's a good idea for the Cardinals to go the established veteran route instead of using Jon Jay and Allen Craig.  Berkman had the worst year of his career last year, but is still only 34.  (Seems like he's been around forever!)  In 2009 he hit 25 home runs and had a .399 OBP.  If you think last year was a bit of an aberration, combining a bad start with a change in scenery, you have to think it's possible for him to be a .270/.380/.480 with 20+ home runs again, which is probably a bit more than Craig and Jay will combine for, at least in 2011.

Craig and Jay are on the rise, in theory, and Berkman is on the downhill side of his career, even if it's not a straight downward slope.  So if you have to give Berkman a three year deal, for example, by the end of it, the two youngsters might be outperforming him at a fraction of the cost.

Which is where the real issue comes in.  If you can get Berkman for a minimal salary, I think you probably pull the trigger.  He made $14.5 million last year, though, and I can't see him settling for less than $7-$8 million with teams like Chicago in the mix as well.

I've always had a fondness of Berkman, as he was one of the classy Astros that made the Houston/St. Louis rivalry so good in the 2000s, but I'm not seeing a good way to get him into Cardinal red.


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2 Comments

2 Comments | Leave a comment

I laughed at the title..... so is Berkman ,,, "a great big bunch of Po-ten-tiallity?"

You know the song, right?

I don't think I do, Tom. Toss me a link to some lyrics.

I actually had in mind the sitcom The Big Bang Theory, which titles all of its episodes in this fashion.

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Heroes
Carlos Beltran (6)
Yadier Molina (5)
Matt Holliday (4)
Jon Jay (4)
Matt Carpenter (3)
Daniel Descalso (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Pete Kozma (3)
Shelby Miller (3)
Adam Wainwright (3)
Allen Craig (2)
Lance Lynn (2)
Tyler Lyons (2)
Edward Mujica (2)
Jake Westbrook (2)
David Freese (1)
Joe Kelly (1)
Seth Maness (1)
Trevor Rosenthal (1)
Michael Wacha (1)
Ty Wigginton (1)

2012 Top Hero: Matt Holliday (17)
2011 Top Hero: Lance Berkman (24)
2010 Top Heroes: Matt Holliday and Albert Pujols (24)
2009 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (28)
2008 Top Hero: Albert Pujols (25)

Goats
Jon Jay (6)
David Freese (5)
Mitchell Boggs (4)
Joe Kelly (4)
Pete Kozma (4)
Matt Carpenter (3)
Allen Craig (3)
Daniel Descalso (3)
Jaime Garcia (3)
Yadier Molina (3)
Matt Adams (2)
Carlos Beltran (2)
Matt Carpenter (2)
Matt Holliday (2)
Lance Lynn (2)
Seth Maness (1)
Shane Robinson (1)
Fernando Salas (1)
Adam Wainwright (1)
Jake Westbrook (1)

2012 Top Goat: Rafael Furcal (11)
2011 Top Goat: Ryan Theriot (12)
2010 Top Goat: Brendan Ryan (14)
2009 Top Goats: Rick Ankiel and Todd Wellemeyer (13)
2008 Top Goat: Troy Glaus (13)

Cardinal Nation Approval Ratings (March 2013)
Yadier Molina 96.2% (up 8.8%)
Chris Carpenter 89.8% (down 0.3%)
Derrick Goold 89.1% (up 6.3%)
Matt Holliday 88.4% (up 0.9%)
Allen Craig 88.3%
Adam Wainwright 88.2% (down 3.7%)
Jose Oquendo 87.1% (up 2.4%)
Jason Motte 86.9%
John Mozeliak 86.5% (up 1.1%)
United Cardinal Bloggers 85.2% (up 6.3%)
Bill DeWitt 85.1% (up 5.3%)
Mike Shannon 85.1% (down 0.2%)
John Rooney 84.5% (up 3.0%)
Mike Matheny 84.4% (up 3.3%)
David Freese 82.9% (down 2.6%)
Jon Jay 81.8% (up 10.7%)
Lance Berkman 80.6% (down 8.0%)
Jenifer Langosch 79.5%
Lance Lynn 79.5%
Dan McLaughlin 76.0% (up 8.0%)
Jim Hayes 73.0% (up 1.1%)
Ricky Horton 65.5% (down 2.0%)
Jaime Garcia 64.1%
Albert Pujols 59.2% (up 4.3%)
Ballpark Village 58.3%
Joe Strauss 54.3% (down 13.4%)

2012
Tony La Russa 88.2% (up 17.4%)
Mark McGwire 82.6% (up 20.1%)
Skip Schumaker 73.3% (up 9.2%)
B.J. Rains 69.5% (down 0.9%)
Kyle Lohse 68.9% (up 13.8%)
Al Hrabosky 66.4% (up 3.2%)
Colby Rasmus 46.5% (down 35.3%)

2011
Dave Duncan 87.9% (up 0.9%)
Matthew Leach 85.5%
Pop Warner 76.7%
Ryan Franklin 72.8% (up 3.1%)
John Vuch 68.9%
Jeff Luhnow 66.4%
Dan Lozano 58.7%

2009
Rick Ankiel 83.9%
Chris Duncan 69.1%


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